head to head
Neither is meaningfully harder - they pose close to the same test. The widest gap is execution, and it is a single point.

Variance · Light / Casual
Claustrophobic horror short about piloting a blind submarine through a blood ocean.

Execution · Light / Casual
A first-person horror about a journalist investigating an asylum.
Iron Lung leans Variance (Light / Casual); Outlast leans Execution (Light / Casual).
Outlast leans a little harder on execution, though the gap is small.
Iron Lung
Slow submarine piloting by coordinates
Outlast
Running, hiding, and camera use.
Same score on reads - which means the number cannot separate them. The difference is in what each one asks of you.
Iron Lung
The thing outside follows a script
Outlast
Enemies follow scripts.
Iron Lung leans a little harder on variance, though the gap is small.
Iron Lung
Blind navigation; you see only camera snapshots
Outlast
Mild patrol variance.
Same score on optimization - which means the number cannot separate them. The difference is in what each one asks of you.
Iron Lung
Plotting waypoints on the paper map
Outlast
Battery and route planning shallow.
A matching score does not mean a matching test. Two games can both sit at 10 on execution and demand completely different things of you - which is why the reasoning above matters more than the number beside it.