head to head
Neither is meaningfully harder - they pose close to the same test. The widest gap is execution, and it is a single point.

Execution · Competitive PvP
The 3D fighting series opener where execution and human mind-games decide every round.

Execution · Grand Arena
A hyper-fast tag fighting game defined by three-character teams and touch-of-death combos.
Tekken leans Execution (Competitive PvP); Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 leans Execution (Grand Arena).
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 leans a little harder on execution, though the gap is small.
Tekken
Frame-tight inputs, juggle combos, movement demand trained hands
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3
Long touch-of-death combos demand elite hands
Same score on reads - which means the number cannot separate them. The difference is in what each one asks of you.
Tekken
Human opponent adapts; throws, lows, sidesteps form mixup mind-games
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3
Mixups and assist baits versus adapting humans
Same score on variance - which means the number cannot separate them. The difference is in what each one asks of you.
Tekken
No hidden info; only matchup unfamiliarity early on
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3
Almost fully deterministic
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 leans a little harder on optimization, though the gap is small.
Tekken
Frame data, punishes, and combo routing are studyable systems
Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3
Team composition and matchup knowledge run deep
A matching score does not mean a matching test. Two games can both sit at 10 on execution and demand completely different things of you - which is why the reasoning above matters more than the number beside it.